TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF MALARIA DISEASE

Authors

  • Mohammed Alhaji Dauda Department of Statistics, School of Science and Technology, Federal Polytechnic Damaturu, yobe. Nigeria
  • Umaru Haassan Department of Statistics, School of Science and Technology, Federal Polytechnic Damaturu, Yobe state. Nigeria
  • Ibrahim Mohammed Dibal Department of General Studies, School of General and Remedial Studies, Federal  Polytechnic  Damaturu, Yobe State, Nigeria

Keywords:

Mortality, Malaria, Mosquito and Children

Abstract

We  present  the  time  series  analysis  of  monthly  number  of  mortality  of  children  less  than  five  years of age as  a  result  of  malaria  in  specialist  hospital  Damaturu,  the  interest  of  this  paper  was  to  fit  the  best  forecasting  model  to  the  time  series  data  and  observe  the  forecast  over  time.  An  ARIMA  models (1, 0, ), (0, 0, 1 ) and (1, 0, 1 )  were  fitted  and  model  (1, 0, 1)  happen  to be  the  best  for  the  data.  The paper also shows an increasing trend over time.  There  are  increases  of  monthly  number  of  mortality  over  time  and  hence  Government  should  provide  better  infrastructural  facilities,  equipment  and  drugs  to  our  hospital  for  effective  diagnosis  and  treatment.  

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Published

2024-07-25

How to Cite

Mohammed Alhaji Dauda, Umaru Haassan, & Ibrahim Mohammed Dibal. (2024). TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF MALARIA DISEASE. BW Academic Journal, 1(3), 118–130. Retrieved from https://www.bwjournal.org/index.php/bsjournal/article/view/2127

Issue

Vol. 1 No. 3 (2024): Bushwealth Academic Journals

Section

Articles